Las Cruces, New Mexico 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

203
FXUS64 KEPZ 111750
AFDEPZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
1150 AM MDT Sat Apr 11 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1145 AM MDT Sat Apr 11 2026

 - Showers and thunderstorms exit the area late tonight and early
   Sunday morning.

 - Dry and breezy conditions Sunday through Tuesday, with blowing
   dust possible Sunday and Monday. Elevated to Near Critical
   fire weather conditions Sunday and Monday.

 - Near normal temperatures through next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 954 AM MDT Sat Apr 11 2026

Showers and storms will exit the area later tonight. Today is the
last shot for decent storm chances through at least the week
ahead. Drier air pushes in Sunday and the afternoon breeziness
returns as well. Winds tomorrow will be around 15-20 mph
sustained out of the southwest. Monday will be a bit breezier with
speeds of around 15-25 mph out of the southwest. Blowing dust
possible both afternoons but shouldn`t be a huge blowing dust day,
maybe some reductions in visibilities but not expecting Dust Storm
Warning level (less than 1/4 mile) dust at this time. Continued
afternoon breeziness into Tuesday, with winds being just a tad
lower compared to Sunday and Monday. Relatively light breezes
expected Wednesday through the end of the work week with mostly dry
conditions.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1145 AM MDT Sat Apr 11 2026

South to southwest breeziness expected this afternoon with mid and
high clouds overhead before clearing out during the early morning
hours Sunday. Models have continued to suggest a line of
thunderstorms that may go over KELP around 00Z tonight. Some
showery activity possible later this afternoon and early evening near
KDMN and KLRU but didn`t feel confident enough to mention in the
TAF.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 954 AM MDT Sat Apr 11 2026

Showers and storms sweep out of the area late tonight. Dry
conditions begin tomorrow lasting through much of the work week.
There`s not a really good signal for rain, but there might be some
potential on Friday for rain. The return for breezy afternoon
winds begins tomorrow with 20ft winds out of the southwest at
generally 10-18 mph. Min RHs will also dip down into critical
thresholds for much of the desert lowlands with RHs of 10-15%
(20-30% in the area mountains), allowing for elevated to near
critical fire weather concerns. Breezier conditions on Monday
afternoon with southwest winds of 15-20 mph (10-15 mph in far west
TX). Min RHs do increase slightly on Monday to 14-20% across the
lowlands (25-35% in the area mountains) allowing for another day
of elevated to near critical fire weather concerns.

Low end breezy winds continue into Tuesday with 20ft winds of
10-15 mph out of the southwest to west. Critical min RHs expected
across much of the desert lowlands again Tuesday at 10-20%. Dry
conditions continue Wednesday and Thursday with winds becoming
fairly light at around 5-10 mph. Single digit min RHs return
Wednesday and persisting through Friday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
El Paso                  58  84  59  83 /  30   0   0   0
Sierra Blanca            50  78  51  79 /  60   0   0   0
Las Cruces               50  80  51  78 /  20   0   0   0
Alamogordo               52  79  51  78 /  40  10   0   0
Cloudcroft               38  55  38  55 /  40  10   0   0
Truth or Consequences    51  79  54  77 /  10   0   0   0
Silver City              44  71  45  68 /  20   0   0  10
Deming                   49  82  52  81 /  20   0   0  10
Lordsburg                46  78  49  75 /  20   0   0   0
West El Paso Metro       59  82  59  81 /  30   0   0   0
Dell City                51  81  51  82 /  30   0   0   0
Fort Hancock             55  86  56  86 /  50   0   0   0
Loma Linda               53  75  53  75 /  40   0   0   0
Fabens                   56  85  56  85 /  30   0   0   0
Santa Teresa             53  81  54  80 /  20   0   0   0
White Sands HQ           58  81  58  81 /  30   0   0   0
Jornada Range            49  80  51  79 /  20   0   0   0
Hatch                    51  82  54  81 /  20   0   0   0
Columbus                 54  83  59  81 /  20   0   0   0
Orogrande                51  79  51  78 /  40   0   0   0
Mayhill                  44  68  44  68 /  40   0   0   0
Mescalero                41  67  41  66 /  40  10   0   0
Timberon                 40  64  41  65 /  50   0   0   0
Winston                  37  70  40  68 /  10   0   0  10
Hillsboro                48  76  50  75 /  20   0   0  10
Spaceport                45  78  49  77 /  20   0   0   0
Lake Roberts             40  69  41  68 /  20   0   0  10
Hurley                   43  74  44  72 /  20   0   0  10
Cliff                    42  77  45  74 /  20   0   0  10
Mule Creek               41  73  42  70 /  20   0   0  10
Faywood                  46  74  47  72 /  20   0   0  10
Animas                   48  79  52  77 /  20   0   0  10
Hachita                  48  78  52  76 /  20   0   0   0
Antelope Wells           48  78  52  77 /  20   0   0   0
Cloverdale               48  73  49  70 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

FORECASTER...37-Slusher